Comments on: Cantarell in decline http://www.hubbers.ca/blog/2007/02/06/cantarell-in-decline/ picturing life in Aurora, Ontario Fri, 03 Sep 2010 16:20:12 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.1 By: Green Assassin Brigade http://www.hubbers.ca/blog/2007/02/06/cantarell-in-decline/comment-page-1/#comment-63 Green Assassin Brigade Wed, 07 Feb 2007 19:35:16 +0000 http://hubbers.ca/wordpress/?p=102#comment-63 Have a look at the article embedded in my post on Ethanol. <a href="http://greenassassinbrigade.blogspot.com/2007/02/ethanol-must-read-article.html">http://greenassassinbrigade.blogspot.com/2007/02/ethanol-must-read-article.html</a> <blockquote><em>This is an excellent article!  Thank you.  It's similar to the analysis by George Monbiot in Heat.  I'm moving this link to a new blog entry, for those that don't dig into the comments. -- Glenn</em></blockquote> Have a look at the article embedded in my post on Ethanol.

http://greenassassinbrigade.blogspot.com/2007/02/ethanol-must-read-article.html

This is an excellent article!  Thank you.  It’s similar to the analysis by George Monbiot in Heat.  I’m moving this link to a new blog entry, for those that don’t dig into the comments. — Glenn

]]> By: Green Assassin Brigade http://www.hubbers.ca/blog/2007/02/06/cantarell-in-decline/comment-page-1/#comment-62 Green Assassin Brigade Tue, 06 Feb 2007 18:05:33 +0000 http://hubbers.ca/wordpress/?p=102#comment-62 What people don't seem to understand is that Peak Oil won't be some smooth seamless transition but a total catastrophe. Some oil fields will dwindle slowly but others will tank in a relatively short period and no amount of pumping, water/steam/co2 injection, or scrubbing will rejuvenate the oil fields. Natural Gas is even more precarious as the depletions always happen drastically with little warning. Pressure drops buy 30% a month for a couple of months and kaput, capacity is lost before new can be found or new pipelines built. Mexico is in decline, Canada is in decline, the north sea is in serious decline. The scariest thing is it's all the friendliest oil that is in the worst decline. The Ghawar fields will be next as so much water has been pumped into these fields to force out deep oil, most wells pump 2/3 water. This transition will not be smooth or slow, prices will grow more and more erratic, the U.S. will demand we pump faster and Nafta does not allow us to hoard for Canada's future. We as individuals and as a nation are not ready. The fear of energy shortages will go a long way to sabotage concerns about greenhouse gases as people will worry about tomorrow rather than next week. We need action now before the fear sets in and destroys our chances of getting it right! <blockquote><em>Very true, although if I'm not mistaken we don't really know the status of Ghawar since the Saudi's are so secretive with their information.  The sad thing is that this is not even part of the political discussion in Canada.  I'm hoping to bring this up with Aurora Town Council through the Environmental Advisory Committee, in order to at least start the dialogue from the municipal level. -- Glenn</em></blockquote> What people don’t seem to understand is that Peak Oil won’t be some smooth seamless transition but a total catastrophe. Some oil fields will dwindle slowly but others will tank in a relatively short period and no amount of pumping, water/steam/co2 injection, or scrubbing will rejuvenate the oil fields.

Natural Gas is even more precarious as the depletions always happen drastically with little warning. Pressure drops buy 30% a month for a couple of months and kaput, capacity is lost before new can be found or new pipelines built.

Mexico is in decline, Canada is in decline, the north sea is in serious decline. The scariest thing is it’s all the friendliest oil that is in the worst decline. The Ghawar fields will be next as so much water has been pumped into these fields to force out deep oil, most wells pump 2/3 water.

This transition will not be smooth or slow, prices will grow more and more erratic, the U.S. will demand we pump faster and Nafta does not allow us to hoard for Canada’s future. We as individuals and as a nation are not ready. The fear of energy shortages will go a long way to sabotage concerns about greenhouse gases as people will worry about tomorrow rather than next week.

We need action now before the fear sets in and destroys our chances of getting it right!

Very true, although if I’m not mistaken we don’t really know the status of Ghawar since the Saudi’s are so secretive with their information.  The sad thing is that this is not even part of the political discussion in Canada.  I’m hoping to bring this up with Aurora Town Council through the Environmental Advisory Committee, in order to at least start the dialogue from the municipal level. — Glenn

]]>